Listing-weighted across Jul 2026–Sep 2026 · DNA buckets: Carvoeiro, Lagoa · EUR

Occupancy and ADR are observed from live Airbnb calendars across Apr 2026–Jan 2027 (6,574 listings tracked, counted over Oct 2026's calendars, the best-covered month), shown in USD. ADR reflects asking prices; upcoming months show booking pace to date and typically rise as the month approaches.

What the data says

Over Jul 2026–Sep 2026, the 972 tracked Airbnb listings in Lagoa & Carvoeiro ran 68% occupancy, 5 points above the 63% Central Algarve-wide weighted mean over the same months. The listing-weighted median nightly rate was €189, 1.14× the €165 Central Algarve figure; 2-bedroom units, the largest tracked size band at 367 listings, averaged €143 at 70% occupancy. Tracked supply moved from 374 listings in Apr 2026 to 972 in Sep 2026, up 160%.

6-month trend

Complete calendar months only — Apr 2026 to Sep 2026. Occupancy is the listing-weighted share of nights booked; ADR is the listing-weighted median asking rate.

Booking pace already on the calendar: Oct 2026 47% (1,020 listings) · Nov 2026 17% (982 listings) · Dec 2026 11% (957 listings) · Jan 2027 12% (60 listings). Forward months fill further as dates approach and are excluded from every figure above.

By bedroom count

Weighted over Jul 2026–Sep 2026; listing counts are the latest complete month.